REMEMBER: God Almighty says in the Holy Quran: Corruption has appeared throughout the land and sea by (reason of) what the hands of people have earned so He may let them taste part of (the consequence of) what they have done that perhaps they will return (to righteousness). (Firman Allah Taala: Telah timbul berbagai kerosakan dan bala bencana di darat dan di laut dengan sebab apa yang telah dilakukan oleh tangan manusia; (timbulnya yang demikian) kerana Allah hendak merasakan mereka sebahagian dari balasan perbuatan-perbuatan buruk yang mereka telah lakukan, supaya mereka kembali (insaf dan bertaubat). (Quran 30:41)
CcNEWS Site email: worlduptown@yahoo.co.uk
CcNEWS Site email: worlduptown@yahoo.co.uk
The market, the system, the economic are dead, cannot produce how hard you do it. It’s over, don’t waste your TIME!
I Give You An Example Maturity:
Like Ourself We Born then We Die when Old Age, So same things with the System, the Market, the Business, the Economic, the WORLD Old Enough And Time’s Up.
Conclusion: We must move to another Destiny to produce. We have to understand, when we plant a tree on the new, fresh soil, (The system of Awalin: Abolish the Tax & Everyone In The WORLD will be Millionaire”) the reality maximum result will produce!
If We Not Aware, the WORLD Getting WORST.
O' Peoples of theWORLD, khadam by the name: theWORLD, Now ARE SICK:
This is not because of typhoon nargis or this is not because of burning forest or this is not because of flood happening in your country, this is not because of Global Economic Crisis not because swine flu or this is not because of typhoon ketsana and tsunami @Aceh (2004), Samoa Island, earthquake @Haiti! (2010), anyway not because of the critical illness, but It's because of us delay (My msg *since 2004), postpone, not aware, don’t care about the good thing comes up to us.
REMEMBER: Welfare (or the Welfare System) the only Medicine for all Sickness, all the bad thing, all the bad matter, critical economic, problem, trouble & disaster.
Why don’t we focus it and taking immediate action!
Remark: O'Peoples of the WORLD: You’re haven’t seen - what I have seen.
I had found the key And “I’am the key” Impossible for you out there to do without me, must work right way - together with the owner & the founder.
You don’t know, what I know. Do not do wrong-doers to your ownselves (believe me it’s about Abolish the TAX & The Destiny: The Coming of Messiah JESUS Son Of Maryam) THIS IS THE REAL DESTINY!
Sincerely,
IbraniKing: Hamden bolly
CcNEWS Site email: worlduptown@yahoo.co.uk
CcNEWS Site email: worlduptown@yahoo.co.uk
Mengapa Pasaran Terhempas (Lagi)
Related Quotes
Symbol Price Change FSTC.OB 0.50 -0.03 MXG1.BE 0.00 0.00 VFTSE.NX 38.27 -1.30 ^FTSE 5,066.81 +25.20 ^REURTRUSD 1,522.23 +8.70
, 17:40, Thursday 22 September 2011Ketika saya menulis, FTSE 100 (Euronext: VFTSE.NX - berita), indeks perniagaan elit British jatuh hampir 230 mata (4.3%) pada 5060. Pada awal petang ini, Footsie (FTSE: ^ FTSE - berita) jatuh di bawah 5015, sebelum kembali meningkat.
Apakah yang menyebabkan kemerosotan ini tiba-tiba, mendadak harga saham? Jawapannya ialah Twist Operasi, pelan diumumkan semalam oleh Rizab Persekutuan Amerika Syarikat.
Twist Operasi (dan menjerit 'Bantuan')
Bank Amerika tengah ('Fed' alias) bimbang tentang kelemahan yang berterusan dalam ekonomi Amerika Syarikat (US). Oleh itu, dalam usaha terbarunya untuk merangsang pertumbuhan, Fed melancarkan Twist Operasi. Ini adalah satu rancangan untuk memanjangkan panjang purata bon Amerika Syarikat yang diadakan pada kunci kira-kira $ 2.85 trilion Fed.
Menjelang Jun 2012, Fed bertujuan untuk menjual $ 400 bilion (£ 260 bilion) yang lebih pendek bertarikh bon Perbendaharaan Amerika Syarikat, mereka yang matang di antara 3 bulan dan 3 tahun. Dengan hasil, bank pusat akan membeli lagi bon bertarikh, yang matang dalam tempoh 6 hingga 30 tahun. Idea ini bahawa ini akan 'mendatar keluk hasil', mengurangkan kadar hasil bon jangka panjang dan dengan itu menurunkan kadar faedah jangka panjang.
Hasilnya, Fed akan membeli kira-kira 9 per sepuluh (90%) semua bon 30 tahun yang dikeluarkan bagi tempoh 9 bulan akan datang. Dengan memborong pasaran ini dan merendam bekalan, Fed berharap untuk menaikkan harga bon 30 tahun dan membawa hasil mereka.
Dengan menjual singkat dan membeli bon jangka bertarikh, Fed berhasrat untuk mengurangkan kadar faedah gadai janji dan pinjaman korporat. Sebagai pemilik rumah tempoh jangka panjang Amerika mempunyai 30 tahun, gadai janji kadar tetap, ini harus lebih rendah kadar faedah gadai janji dan menggalakkan peminjam beralih kepada tawaran yang lebih murah.
Dalam usaha untuk meningkatkan lagi pasaran gadai janji Amerika Syarikat yang bermasalah, Fed akan melabur hasil hutang perumahan yang matang kepada sekuriti bersandarkan gadai janji, dan bukannya bon Perbendaharaan.
Malangnya, apa yang spooked pelabur amaran Fed 'risiko yang penting' kepada pemulihan ekonomi yang sudah dibisukan. Ini telah menghantar kumpulan pelaburan yang melarikan diri ke tempat selamat.
Bagaimana pasaran bertindak balas?
Twist mempunyai kesan yang serta-merta dan dramatik ke atas pasaran modal di seluruh dunia.
Pertama (OTC BB: FSTC.OB - berita), dolar Amerika Syarikat (US) meningkat kepada 1.8% apabila para pelabur lari untuk keselamatan yang dianggap mata wang rizab dunia.
Ke-2, harga bon yang melonjak (lihat di bawah).
Ke-3, harga komoditi jatuh, kerana harga logam berharga dan asas dan minyak turun sebagai pedagang bimbang memperlahankan pertumbuhan permintaan.
Ke-4, pasaran saham, di seluruh dunia jatuh apabila para pelabur menjual sahamnya dan membeli bon. Semalam, indeks Standard & Poor 500 susut 2.9% dan Dow Jones Industrial Average turun 2.5%.
Di London, lebih daripada £ 55 bilion telah dihilangkan dari nilai-nilai syarikat hari ini, salah satu daripada kejatuhan terburuk sejak bulan September dan Oktober 2008, selepas kebankrapan bank pelaburan Amerika Syarikat Lehman Brothers.
Satu sisi-kesan daripada Twist bahawa ia akan menaikkan kekurangan skim pencen di AS akhir-gaji. Mengurangkan kadar jangka panjang mengurangkan kadar diskaun di mana dana pencen mengira liabiliti mereka. Oleh itu, liabiliti pencen akan meningkat lebih cepat daripada nilai aset akan menghasilkan lubang hitam yang lebih besar dalam pelan pencen Amerika Syarikat.
Bon Kerajaan Melambung
Dalam penerbangan kini luar biasa 'risiko' terhadap keselamatan, pelabur di seluruh dunia bergegas ke keselamatan bon kerajaan yang sangat diberi nilai, seperti US Treasurys, Jerman batas dan Gilts UK.
Malah, hasil 30-tahun bon Perbendaharaan Amerika Syarikat jatuh lebih mendadak berbanding pada bila-bila masa sejak zaman gelap musim luruh 2008. Hasil 30 tahun jatuh 0,13 mata peratusan kepada 2.87% sebelum bergerak ke atas sedikit. Kadar hasil bon jatuh seperti kenaikan harga.
Selain itu, hasil pada penanda aras 10 tahun bon Perbendaharaan Amerika Syarikat mencecah paras terendah dalam masa 1,74% hari ini, sebelum melonjak 1,85% selepas pengumuman Fed.
Di Jerman, sepuluh tahun Bund hasil jatuh rekod yang rendah 1,67% dan hasil pada batas 30 tahun jatuh ke 2,47%, satu masa yang lain semua rendah. Walau bagaimanapun, harga bon jatuh dan kadar hasil yang meningkat di Itali, Greece dan Sepanyol, dengan bon yang dilihat sebagai terlalu berisiko untuk beberapa.
3 Kali Bernasib Baik?
Sudah tentu, Twist Operasi tidak adalah kali pertama bahawa Federal Reserve telah cuba untuk memberikan ekonomi Amerika Syarikat yang pendek di bahagian lengan.
Dalam tempoh tiga tahun yang lalu, Fed cuba dua pusingan pelonggaran kuantitatif (digelar QE1 dan QE2). Ini melibatkan kerajaan Fed membeli dan bon korporat untuk menyuntik lebih banyak wang ke dalam ekonomi Amerika Syarikat (US). Pada hakikatnya, bank pusat Amerika Syarikat elektronik mencipta wang dari udara nipis.
QE2 menyuntik Amerika Syarikat $ 600 bilion ke dalam ekonomi Amerika Syarikat (US), menyebabkan saham-saham Amerika Syarikat meningkat 28% dalam tempoh tujuh bulan. Apabila ia berakhir pada bulan Jun, ahli ekonomi dipanggil untuk satu lagi pusingan pelonggaran; banyak yang akan kecewa melihat Twist Operasi dan bukannya QE3.
Juga, ini tidak Twist Operasi pertama, sebagai sesuatu yang serupa telah mencuba lima puluh tahun lalu, semasa era Kennedy. Pada tahun 1961, ini disebabkan kadar jangka panjang jatuh sambil meninggalkan kadar jangka pendek yang sebahagian besarnya tidak berubah.
Kritikan maklum balas Fed berhujah bahawa Twist tidak akan membantu ekonomi Amerika Syarikat hampir menemui ajal atau, sekurang-terbaik, akan memberi sedikit lif. Di samping itu, rancangan itu tidak mungkin untuk memulihkan pasaran perumahan Amerika Syarikat bertakung dan tidak akan menggalakkan syarikat untuk mula mengambil pekerja untuk mengurangkan pengangguran, yang sedang berjalan pada kadar 9.1%.
Jelas sekali, Fed sedang berjalan keluar dari anak panah dalam menggigil. Jika ia tidak boleh datang dengan cara yang pasti-api untuk menggalakkan individu dan syarikat-syarikat Amerika untuk meminjam dan membelanjakan, maka prospek ekonomi Amerika Syarikat (US) kelihatan tidak menentu.
Waktu ini Bermasalah
Seolah-olah Pasar Encik tidak berhati-hati cukup sudah, Tabung Kewangan Antarabangsa (IMF (Berlin: MXG1.BE - berita) hari ini memberi amaran kepada pertumbuhan yang lembap di seluruh negara maju, terutamanya di Amerika Syarikat, UK dan Eropah (Chicago Pilihan: ^ REURTRUSD - berita). IMF telah mengurangkan unjuran pertumbuhan untuk UK 1.1% pada tahun 2011, yang jauh di bawah ramalan 1.7% kerajaan kita. Ia meramalkan ekonomi Amerika Syarikat akan berkembang 1.5% tahun ini.
Selain itu, IMF memberi amaran bahawa krisis hutang di zon euro berdaulat telah ditiupkan lubang besar dalam kunci kira-kira bank-bank Eropah. Ia menganggap bahawa zon euro bank-bank perlu untuk meningkatkan lagi € 300 bilion (£ 262 bilion) daripada modal kekal pelarut.
Terus terang, apa-apa berita yang lebih buruk akan mempunyai pelabur shell-terkejut mencapai topi bijih timah mereka!
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CcNEWS Mail Site email: downtown1wc@gmail.com @1WORLDCommunityWhy Markets Are Crashing (Again)
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Symbol Price Change FSTC.OB 0.50 -0.03 MXG1.BE 0.00 0.00 VFTSE.NX 38.27 -1.30 ^FTSE 5,066.81 +25.20 ^REURTRUSD 1,522.23 +8.70
, 17:40, Thursday 22 September 2011As I write, the FTSE 100 (Euronext: VFTSE.NX - news) index of elite British businesses is down nearly 230 points (4.3%) at 5,060. Earlier this afternoon, the Footsie (FTSE: ^FTSE - news) fell below 5,015, before bouncing back.What caused this sudden, sharp slump in share prices? The answer is Operation Twist, a plan announced yesterday by the US Federal Reserve.Operation Twist (and shout 'Help')America's central bank (alias 'the Fed') is worried about continued weakness in the US economy. Hence, in its latest effort to stimulate growth, the Fed is launching Operation Twist. This is a plan to extend the average length of US bonds held on the Fed's $2.85 trillion balance sheet.By June 2012, the Fed aims to sell $400 billion (£260 billion) of shorter-dated US Treasury bonds, those maturing in between three months and three years. With the proceeds, the central bank will buy longer-dated bonds, those maturing in six to 30 years. The idea is that this will 'flatten the yield curve', reducing long-term bond yields and thus bringing down long-term interest rates.As a result, the Fed will be buying around nine-tenths (90%) of all 30-year bonds issued for the next nine months. By cornering this market and soaking up supply, the Fed hopes to push up 30-year bond prices and bring down their yields.By selling short-dated and buying long-dated bonds, the Fed aims to lower interest rates on mortgages and corporate borrowing. As most American homeowners have 30-year, fixed-rate mortgages, this should lower mortgage interest rates and encourage borrowers to switch to cheaper deals.In a further attempt to boost the ailing US mortgage market, the Fed will invest the proceeds of maturing housing debt into mortgage-backed securities, instead of Treasury bonds.Alas, what spooked investors most was the Fed's warning of 'significant downside risks' to an already-muted economic recovery. This sent the investing herd fleeing to safety.How did markets react?Twist had an immediate and dramatic impact on capital markets worldwide.First (OTC BB: FSTC.OB - news) , the US dollar rose by up to 1.8% as investors ran for the perceived safety of the world's reserve currency. Second, bond prices soared (see below). Third, commodity prices fell, because prices for precious and base metals and oil slipped as traders worried about slowing demand growth.Fourth, stock markets across the globe tumbled as investors sold shares and bought bonds. Yesterday, the Standard & Poor's 500 index slid 2.9% and the Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 2.5%.In London, more than £55 billion was wiped off company values today, one of the worst falls since September and October 2008, in the aftermath of the bankruptcy of US investment bank Lehman Brothers.One side-effect of Twist is that it will push up shortfalls in US final-salary pension schemes. Lowering long-term rates reduces the discount rate at which pension funds calculate their liabilities. Hence, pension liabilities will rise faster than asset values will, producing bigger black holes in US company pension plans.Government bonds soarIn the now-familiar 'risk off' flight to safety, investors worldwide rushed to the safety of highly rated government bonds, such as US Treasurys, German Bunds and UK Gilts.Indeed, the yield on 30-year US Treasury bonds fell more sharply than at any time since the dark days of autumn 2008. The 30-year yield fell 0.13 percentage points to 2.87% before moving up slightly. Bond yields fall as prices rise.Also, the yield on the benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond hit an all-time low of 1.74% yesterday, before rebounding to 1.85% after the Fed announcement.In Germany, ten-year Bund yields fell to a record low of 1.67% and yields on 30-year Bunds fell to 2.47%, another all-time low. However, bond prices fell and yields rose in Italy, Greece and Spain, with these bonds seen as too risky for some.Third time lucky?Of course, Operation Twist isn't the first time that the Federal Reserve has tried to give the US economy a short in the arm.In the past three years, the Fed tried two rounds of quantitative easing (dubbed QE1 and QE2). This involved the Fed buying government and corporate bonds in order to inject more cash into the US economy. In effect, the US central bank electronically created money from thin air.QE2 injected $600 billion into the US economy, causing US stocks to rise 28% over seven months. When it ended in June, economists called for another round of easing; many will be disappointed to see Operation Twist instead of QE3.Also, this isn't the first Operation Twist, as something similar was tried fifty years ago, during the Kennedy era. In 1961, this caused long-term rates to fall while leaving short-term rates largely unchanged.Critics of the Fed's response argue that Twist won't help the moribund US economy or, at best, will give it the slightest of lifts. In addition, the plan is unlikely to revive the stagnant US housing market and won't encourage companies to start hiring to bring down unemployment, currently running at a rate of 9.1%.Clearly, the Fed is running out of arrows in its quiver. If it can't come up with a sure-fire way to encourage American individuals and corporations to borrow and spend, then the outlook for the US economy looks uncertain.Troubled timesAs if Mr Market wasn't wary enough already, the International Monetary Fund (IMF (Berlin: MXG1.BE - news) ) yesterday warned of sluggish growth across developed economies, notably in the US, UK and Europe (Chicago Options: ^REURTRUSD - news) . The IMF reduced its growth forecast for the UK to 1.1% in 2011, which is well below our government's 1.7% forecast. It predicts the US economy will grow 1.5% this year.Also, the IMF warned that the sovereign-debt crisis in the euro zone has blown a huge hole in European banks' balance sheets. It reckons that euro-zone banks need to raise a further €300 billion (£262 billion) of capital to remain solvent.Frankly, any more bad news will have shell-shocked investors reaching for their tin hats!
Related Quotes
Symbol Price Change FSTC.OB 0.50 -0.03 MXG1.BE 0.00 0.00 VFTSE.NX 38.27 -1.30 ^FTSE 5,066.81 +25.20 ^REURTRUSD 1,522.23 +8.70 , 17:40, Thursday 22 September 2011Ketika saya menulis, FTSE 100 (Euronext: VFTSE.NX - berita), indeks perniagaan elit British jatuh hampir 230 mata (4.3%) pada 5060. Pada awal petang ini, Footsie (FTSE: ^ FTSE - berita) jatuh di bawah 5015, sebelum kembali meningkat.
Apakah yang menyebabkan kemerosotan ini tiba-tiba, mendadak harga saham? Jawapannya ialah Twist Operasi, pelan diumumkan semalam oleh Rizab Persekutuan Amerika Syarikat.
Twist Operasi (dan menjerit 'Bantuan')
Bank Amerika tengah ('Fed' alias) bimbang tentang kelemahan yang berterusan dalam ekonomi Amerika Syarikat (US). Oleh itu, dalam usaha terbarunya untuk merangsang pertumbuhan, Fed melancarkan Twist Operasi. Ini adalah satu rancangan untuk memanjangkan panjang purata bon Amerika Syarikat yang diadakan pada kunci kira-kira $ 2.85 trilion Fed.
Menjelang Jun 2012, Fed bertujuan untuk menjual $ 400 bilion (£ 260 bilion) yang lebih pendek bertarikh bon Perbendaharaan Amerika Syarikat, mereka yang matang di antara 3 bulan dan 3 tahun. Dengan hasil, bank pusat akan membeli lagi bon bertarikh, yang matang dalam tempoh 6 hingga 30 tahun. Idea ini bahawa ini akan 'mendatar keluk hasil', mengurangkan kadar hasil bon jangka panjang dan dengan itu menurunkan kadar faedah jangka panjang.
Hasilnya, Fed akan membeli kira-kira 9 per sepuluh (90%) semua bon 30 tahun yang dikeluarkan bagi tempoh 9 bulan akan datang. Dengan memborong pasaran ini dan merendam bekalan, Fed berharap untuk menaikkan harga bon 30 tahun dan membawa hasil mereka.
Dengan menjual singkat dan membeli bon jangka bertarikh, Fed berhasrat untuk mengurangkan kadar faedah gadai janji dan pinjaman korporat. Sebagai pemilik rumah tempoh jangka panjang Amerika mempunyai 30 tahun, gadai janji kadar tetap, ini harus lebih rendah kadar faedah gadai janji dan menggalakkan peminjam beralih kepada tawaran yang lebih murah.
Dalam usaha untuk meningkatkan lagi pasaran gadai janji Amerika Syarikat yang bermasalah, Fed akan melabur hasil hutang perumahan yang matang kepada sekuriti bersandarkan gadai janji, dan bukannya bon Perbendaharaan.
Malangnya, apa yang spooked pelabur amaran Fed 'risiko yang penting' kepada pemulihan ekonomi yang sudah dibisukan. Ini telah menghantar kumpulan pelaburan yang melarikan diri ke tempat selamat.
Bagaimana pasaran bertindak balas?
Twist mempunyai kesan yang serta-merta dan dramatik ke atas pasaran modal di seluruh dunia.
Pertama (OTC BB: FSTC.OB - berita), dolar Amerika Syarikat (US) meningkat kepada 1.8% apabila para pelabur lari untuk keselamatan yang dianggap mata wang rizab dunia.
Ke-2, harga bon yang melonjak (lihat di bawah).
Ke-3, harga komoditi jatuh, kerana harga logam berharga dan asas dan minyak turun sebagai pedagang bimbang memperlahankan pertumbuhan permintaan.
Ke-4, pasaran saham, di seluruh dunia jatuh apabila para pelabur menjual sahamnya dan membeli bon. Semalam, indeks Standard & Poor 500 susut 2.9% dan Dow Jones Industrial Average turun 2.5%.
Di London, lebih daripada £ 55 bilion telah dihilangkan dari nilai-nilai syarikat hari ini, salah satu daripada kejatuhan terburuk sejak bulan September dan Oktober 2008, selepas kebankrapan bank pelaburan Amerika Syarikat Lehman Brothers.
Satu sisi-kesan daripada Twist bahawa ia akan menaikkan kekurangan skim pencen di AS akhir-gaji. Mengurangkan kadar jangka panjang mengurangkan kadar diskaun di mana dana pencen mengira liabiliti mereka. Oleh itu, liabiliti pencen akan meningkat lebih cepat daripada nilai aset akan menghasilkan lubang hitam yang lebih besar dalam pelan pencen Amerika Syarikat.
Bon Kerajaan Melambung
Dalam penerbangan kini luar biasa 'risiko' terhadap keselamatan, pelabur di seluruh dunia bergegas ke keselamatan bon kerajaan yang sangat diberi nilai, seperti US Treasurys, Jerman batas dan Gilts UK.
Malah, hasil 30-tahun bon Perbendaharaan Amerika Syarikat jatuh lebih mendadak berbanding pada bila-bila masa sejak zaman gelap musim luruh 2008. Hasil 30 tahun jatuh 0,13 mata peratusan kepada 2.87% sebelum bergerak ke atas sedikit. Kadar hasil bon jatuh seperti kenaikan harga.
Selain itu, hasil pada penanda aras 10 tahun bon Perbendaharaan Amerika Syarikat mencecah paras terendah dalam masa 1,74% hari ini, sebelum melonjak 1,85% selepas pengumuman Fed.
Di Jerman, sepuluh tahun Bund hasil jatuh rekod yang rendah 1,67% dan hasil pada batas 30 tahun jatuh ke 2,47%, satu masa yang lain semua rendah. Walau bagaimanapun, harga bon jatuh dan kadar hasil yang meningkat di Itali, Greece dan Sepanyol, dengan bon yang dilihat sebagai terlalu berisiko untuk beberapa.
3 Kali Bernasib Baik?
Sudah tentu, Twist Operasi tidak adalah kali pertama bahawa Federal Reserve telah cuba untuk memberikan ekonomi Amerika Syarikat yang pendek di bahagian lengan.
Dalam tempoh tiga tahun yang lalu, Fed cuba dua pusingan pelonggaran kuantitatif (digelar QE1 dan QE2). Ini melibatkan kerajaan Fed membeli dan bon korporat untuk menyuntik lebih banyak wang ke dalam ekonomi Amerika Syarikat (US). Pada hakikatnya, bank pusat Amerika Syarikat elektronik mencipta wang dari udara nipis.
QE2 menyuntik Amerika Syarikat $ 600 bilion ke dalam ekonomi Amerika Syarikat (US), menyebabkan saham-saham Amerika Syarikat meningkat 28% dalam tempoh tujuh bulan. Apabila ia berakhir pada bulan Jun, ahli ekonomi dipanggil untuk satu lagi pusingan pelonggaran; banyak yang akan kecewa melihat Twist Operasi dan bukannya QE3.
Juga, ini tidak Twist Operasi pertama, sebagai sesuatu yang serupa telah mencuba lima puluh tahun lalu, semasa era Kennedy. Pada tahun 1961, ini disebabkan kadar jangka panjang jatuh sambil meninggalkan kadar jangka pendek yang sebahagian besarnya tidak berubah.
Kritikan maklum balas Fed berhujah bahawa Twist tidak akan membantu ekonomi Amerika Syarikat hampir menemui ajal atau, sekurang-terbaik, akan memberi sedikit lif. Di samping itu, rancangan itu tidak mungkin untuk memulihkan pasaran perumahan Amerika Syarikat bertakung dan tidak akan menggalakkan syarikat untuk mula mengambil pekerja untuk mengurangkan pengangguran, yang sedang berjalan pada kadar 9.1%.
Jelas sekali, Fed sedang berjalan keluar dari anak panah dalam menggigil. Jika ia tidak boleh datang dengan cara yang pasti-api untuk menggalakkan individu dan syarikat-syarikat Amerika untuk meminjam dan membelanjakan, maka prospek ekonomi Amerika Syarikat (US) kelihatan tidak menentu.
Waktu ini Bermasalah
Seolah-olah Pasar Encik tidak berhati-hati cukup sudah, Tabung Kewangan Antarabangsa (IMF (Berlin: MXG1.BE - berita) hari ini memberi amaran kepada pertumbuhan yang lembap di seluruh negara maju, terutamanya di Amerika Syarikat, UK dan Eropah (Chicago Pilihan: ^ REURTRUSD - berita). IMF telah mengurangkan unjuran pertumbuhan untuk UK 1.1% pada tahun 2011, yang jauh di bawah ramalan 1.7% kerajaan kita. Ia meramalkan ekonomi Amerika Syarikat akan berkembang 1.5% tahun ini.
Selain itu, IMF memberi amaran bahawa krisis hutang di zon euro berdaulat telah ditiupkan lubang besar dalam kunci kira-kira bank-bank Eropah. Ia menganggap bahawa zon euro bank-bank perlu untuk meningkatkan lagi € 300 bilion (£ 262 bilion) daripada modal kekal pelarut.
Terus terang, apa-apa berita yang lebih buruk akan mempunyai pelabur shell-terkejut mencapai topi bijih timah mereka!
Baca analisis yang lebih dari Motley Fool
Laporan khas PERCUMA - dapatkan panduan melabur terkini
10 Langkah Untuk Kebebasan Kewangan
CcNEWS Site email: worlduptown@yahoo.co.uk
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Symbol Price Change FSTC.OB 0.50 -0.03 MXG1.BE 0.00 0.00 VFTSE.NX 38.27 -1.30 ^FTSE 5,066.81 +25.20 ^REURTRUSD 1,522.23 +8.70 , 17:40, Thursday 22 September 2011As I write, the FTSE 100 (Euronext: VFTSE.NX - news) index of elite British businesses is down nearly 230 points (4.3%) at 5,060. Earlier this afternoon, the Footsie (FTSE: ^FTSE - news) fell below 5,015, before bouncing back.What caused this sudden, sharp slump in share prices? The answer is Operation Twist, a plan announced yesterday by the US Federal Reserve.Operation Twist (and shout 'Help')America's central bank (alias 'the Fed') is worried about continued weakness in the US economy. Hence, in its latest effort to stimulate growth, the Fed is launching Operation Twist. This is a plan to extend the average length of US bonds held on the Fed's $2.85 trillion balance sheet.By June 2012, the Fed aims to sell $400 billion (£260 billion) of shorter-dated US Treasury bonds, those maturing in between three months and three years. With the proceeds, the central bank will buy longer-dated bonds, those maturing in six to 30 years. The idea is that this will 'flatten the yield curve', reducing long-term bond yields and thus bringing down long-term interest rates.As a result, the Fed will be buying around nine-tenths (90%) of all 30-year bonds issued for the next nine months. By cornering this market and soaking up supply, the Fed hopes to push up 30-year bond prices and bring down their yields.By selling short-dated and buying long-dated bonds, the Fed aims to lower interest rates on mortgages and corporate borrowing. As most American homeowners have 30-year, fixed-rate mortgages, this should lower mortgage interest rates and encourage borrowers to switch to cheaper deals.In a further attempt to boost the ailing US mortgage market, the Fed will invest the proceeds of maturing housing debt into mortgage-backed securities, instead of Treasury bonds.Alas, what spooked investors most was the Fed's warning of 'significant downside risks' to an already-muted economic recovery. This sent the investing herd fleeing to safety.How did markets react?Twist had an immediate and dramatic impact on capital markets worldwide.First (OTC BB: FSTC.OB - news) , the US dollar rose by up to 1.8% as investors ran for the perceived safety of the world's reserve currency. Second, bond prices soared (see below). Third, commodity prices fell, because prices for precious and base metals and oil slipped as traders worried about slowing demand growth.Fourth, stock markets across the globe tumbled as investors sold shares and bought bonds. Yesterday, the Standard & Poor's 500 index slid 2.9% and the Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 2.5%.In London, more than £55 billion was wiped off company values today, one of the worst falls since September and October 2008, in the aftermath of the bankruptcy of US investment bank Lehman Brothers.One side-effect of Twist is that it will push up shortfalls in US final-salary pension schemes. Lowering long-term rates reduces the discount rate at which pension funds calculate their liabilities. Hence, pension liabilities will rise faster than asset values will, producing bigger black holes in US company pension plans.Government bonds soarIn the now-familiar 'risk off' flight to safety, investors worldwide rushed to the safety of highly rated government bonds, such as US Treasurys, German Bunds and UK Gilts.Indeed, the yield on 30-year US Treasury bonds fell more sharply than at any time since the dark days of autumn 2008. The 30-year yield fell 0.13 percentage points to 2.87% before moving up slightly. Bond yields fall as prices rise.Also, the yield on the benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond hit an all-time low of 1.74% yesterday, before rebounding to 1.85% after the Fed announcement.In Germany, ten-year Bund yields fell to a record low of 1.67% and yields on 30-year Bunds fell to 2.47%, another all-time low. However, bond prices fell and yields rose in Italy, Greece and Spain, with these bonds seen as too risky for some.Third time lucky?Of course, Operation Twist isn't the first time that the Federal Reserve has tried to give the US economy a short in the arm.In the past three years, the Fed tried two rounds of quantitative easing (dubbed QE1 and QE2). This involved the Fed buying government and corporate bonds in order to inject more cash into the US economy. In effect, the US central bank electronically created money from thin air.QE2 injected $600 billion into the US economy, causing US stocks to rise 28% over seven months. When it ended in June, economists called for another round of easing; many will be disappointed to see Operation Twist instead of QE3.Also, this isn't the first Operation Twist, as something similar was tried fifty years ago, during the Kennedy era. In 1961, this caused long-term rates to fall while leaving short-term rates largely unchanged.Critics of the Fed's response argue that Twist won't help the moribund US economy or, at best, will give it the slightest of lifts. In addition, the plan is unlikely to revive the stagnant US housing market and won't encourage companies to start hiring to bring down unemployment, currently running at a rate of 9.1%.Clearly, the Fed is running out of arrows in its quiver. If it can't come up with a sure-fire way to encourage American individuals and corporations to borrow and spend, then the outlook for the US economy looks uncertain.Troubled timesAs if Mr Market wasn't wary enough already, the International Monetary Fund (IMF (Berlin: MXG1.BE - news) ) yesterday warned of sluggish growth across developed economies, notably in the US, UK and Europe (Chicago Options: ^REURTRUSD - news) . The IMF reduced its growth forecast for the UK to 1.1% in 2011, which is well below our government's 1.7% forecast. It predicts the US economy will grow 1.5% this year.Also, the IMF warned that the sovereign-debt crisis in the euro zone has blown a huge hole in European banks' balance sheets. It reckons that euro-zone banks need to raise a further €300 billion (£262 billion) of capital to remain solvent.Frankly, any more bad news will have shell-shocked investors reaching for their tin hats!
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